Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 15.424677 17.919533 20.630581 23.787809 27.355682 31.254555 35.829256
2025-08-10 10.866134 14.189132 18.165452 23.237344 29.494034 36.916391 46.340326
2025-08-17 8.175950 11.738622 16.343073 22.647918 30.961878 41.445642 55.543629
2025-08-24 6.362737 9.922040 14.836979 21.981369 31.935853 45.125631 63.695186
2025-08-31 4.966473 8.361402 13.342559 20.983390 32.161558 47.626389 70.275744
2025-09-07 4.279744 7.696790 12.976347 21.448777 34.353460 52.847476 80.810503
2025-09-14 3.719326 7.117094 12.625631 21.839581 36.396286 57.927942 91.419061
2025-09-21 3.121215 6.360017 11.870471 21.473722 37.197987 61.179738 99.509914
2025-09-28 2.599685 5.638539 11.060113 20.892492 37.554203 63.715814 106.615311
2025-10-05 2.475932 5.633253 11.472950 22.385350 41.355453 71.787589 122.635147
2025-10-12 2.316985 5.529674 11.687980 23.538981 44.659424 79.251478 138.101933
2025-10-19 2.091463 5.249871 11.535139 24.005066 46.804543 84.946787 151.037666
2025-10-26 1.818467 4.845086 11.138009 24.072149 48.425259 90.162616 163.999632
2025-11-02 1.524985 4.339915 10.480149 23.591759 49.067118 93.861085 174.857925
2025-11-09 1.271165 3.868928 9.816058 23.007563 49.444222 97.106914 185.139819
2025-11-16 1.053759 3.434149 9.155195 22.334057 49.562230 99.865565 194.706509
2025-11-23 0.852271 2.986978 8.386554 21.322544 48.898291 101.126948 201.668810
2025-11-30 0.766543 2.843206 8.307062 21.794503 51.233330 108.040432 219.105970
2025-12-07 0.687410 2.698718 8.201633 22.190768 53.436420 114.829791 236.671657
2025-12-14 0.584248 2.449850 7.788249 21.819809 53.984067 118.473243 248.608509
2025-12-21 0.488248 2.194615 7.311121 21.230452 53.994943 121.049735 258.656718
2025-12-28 0.479350 2.243005 7.674920 22.744127 58.749876 133.291401 287.705994
2026-01-04 0.457972 2.240290 7.893364 23.913716 62.817483 144.365418 315.009362